360 Picks: Week 17


    Week 16, the week the bottom dropped out on the Giants360 spread picks. The computer went 4-12 on the spread picks, but was firmly mediocre on the straight (8-8) and the game totals (9-7). Undaunted, but knowing that an off season reprogramming is in the works, the circuits soldier on

    First let’s look at how we’ve done, then we’ll move on to this week’s selections.

    Straight up: 1-3 on High confidence picks, 7-5 on Low. 8-8 Overall
    Straight up season: 67-32-1 on High confidence picks, 81-59 on low. 148-91-1 Overall

    Spread: 0-3 on High confidence picks, 4-9 on Low. 4-12 Overall
    Spread season: 33-37-3 on High Confidence Picks, 76-87-4 on Low. 109-124-7 Overall

    OU: 3-3 on High confidence Picks, 6-4 on Low. 9-7 Overall
    Season OU: 29-38-1 on High confidence picks, 80-88-4 on Low. 109-126-5 Overall

    Parley Picks: Done for the season. 1-11 Overall. Parlays aren’t our thing. Going to stop suggesting them.
    Suicide Selections: 3-1, 48-16 Overall. Never picking the 49ers again.

    360 Picks Week 17:

    Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens:

    Line: Ravens by 13.0
    Over/Under: 39.0

    Analysis: Baltimore needs to win this game to have a chance at the playoffs. Cleveland is finishing out a season filled with promise but lacking the quarterback they needed to truly compete. Johnny Manziel is out, as is Brian Hoyer, both injured. Connor Shaw gets the start for the Browns after Rex Grossman declined Cleveland’s offer to join them for the game. If the Ravens can’t win this game, the should resign from the NFL in disgrace.

    Straight Pick: Ravens
    Spread Pick: Ravens – 13.0
    OU Pick: Under 39.0

    Confidence:  Low on all three picks.

    Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins:

    Line: Cowboys by 6.5
    Over/Under: 49.0

    Analysis: Dallas has an outside chance at a bye, but their best chances involve tie game scenarios. Any bye Dallas hopes to achieve will require them to beat Washington and wait for the outcome of the games kicking off at 4:25. Reports from Texas have Jason Garrett most likely resting his starters during the second half of the game assuming they will be playing next week (Probably against the loser of the Detroit/Green Bay game). Washington is highly motivated to beat Dallas and spoil their post season. This is a nasty rivalry and one where you should take the points.

    Straight Pick: Redskins
    Spread Pick: Redskins + 6.5
    OU Pick: Over 49.0

    Confidence: Low on all three picks.

    Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans:

    Line: Colts by 9.0
    Over/Under: 46.5

    Analysis: Neither team has anything to play for in this game. Indianapolis is locked into the 4 seed in the AFC, and Tennessee is going home when the final gun sounds. The Colts are the better team, but don’t have the motivation to win by more than a touchdown.

    Straight Pick: Colts
    Spread Pick: Titans + 9.0
    OU Pick: Over 46.5

    Confidence: Low on all three picks.

    Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans:

    Line: Texans by 10.0
    Over/Under: 40.5

    Analysis: Houston can make the playoffs one season after picking first overall in the NFL draft. Case Keenum makes his second start, and is favored to beat the Jaguars by more than a touchdown. If Houston wins, and both San Diego and Baltimore lose, the Texans will play the loser of the Bengals/Steelers game next week. The Jaguars, upon losing, would clinch the first overall pick if Tampa Bay beats the Saints. Look for Houston to win, but not by a landslide.

    Straight Pick: Texans
    Spread Pick: Jaguars + 10.0
    OU Pick: Over 40.5

    Confidence: Low on all three picks.

    San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs:

    Line: Chiefs by 1.0
    Over/Under: 40.0

    Analysis: This was shaping up to be one of the better early games of week 17 until Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith was diagnosed with a lacerated spleen and ruled out. Enter Chase Daniel, former understudy of Drew Brees in New Orleans, and current emergency starter for the Chiefs waning playoff hopes. If San Diego wins, they take the final playoff spot in the AFC. Kansas City needs to win and pray that not only Cleveland upsets Baltimore, but Jacksonville upsets Houston. Stranger things have happened – but I can’t think of any at the moment. Look for the Chargers to win it.

    Straight Pick: Chargers
    Spread Pick: Chargers + 1.0
    OU Pick: Under 40.0

    Confidence: High on the Straight and the Spread; Low on the Under.

    New York Jets at Miami Dolphins:

    Line: Dolphins by 6.0
    Over/Under: 42.0

    Analysis: The Jets team web site posted a video highlighting all of John Idzik’s mistakes as General Manager and then took it down. And consultant Charlie Casserly is reportedly already reaching out to GM candidates. This doesn’t bode well for Idzik’s future with the team past tomorrow. ProFootballTalk.com reported that Rex Ryan has already cleared out his desk, but the players still love him, and will play hard is what is, in all probability, his swan song as Jets head coach. They will win it for him. Don’t be shocked if Rex turns up in one of the head coach openings that crop up tomorrow.

    Straight Pick: Jets
    Spread Pick: Jets + 6.0
    OU Pick: Under 42.0

    Confidence:  Low on all three picks.

    Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings:

    Line: Vikings by 6.0
    Over/Under: 44.0

    Analysis: Speaking of head coach openings, it appears that the Bears will clean house after their season finale in chilly Minnesota. GM Phil Emery, head coach Marc Trestman, and even quarterback Jay Cutler may go after a highly disappointing season in the windy city. Cutler gets the start for the concussed Jimmy Clausen, in a sentence that best encapsulated the futility of the Bears 2014. Minnesota was surprisingly competitive for a team that lost Adrian Peterson to a child abuse scandal in September. Look for them to close out the season with a win and a 7-9 record.

    Straight Pick: Vikings
    Spread Pick: Vikings – 6.0
    OU Pick: Over 44.0

    Confidence: Low on the Straight and the Spread; High on the Over.

    Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots:

    Line: Patriots by 6.5
    Over/Under: 45.0

    Analysis: New England clinched home field advantage in the AFC when Denver lost in the Monday Night football finale. Bill Belichick will treat this game with all the respect and excitement of the fourth preseason game. Tom Brady, Rob Gronkowski, Vince Wilfork, Darrelle Revis? Take a seat. Let’s play the B team and watch them beat the Bills, but not by a touchdown.

    Straight Pick: Patriots
    Spread Pick: Bills + 6.5
    OU Pick: Over 45.0

    Confidence: Low on all three picks.

    Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants:

    Line: Giants by 2.5
    Over/Under: 53.5

    Analysis: The Giants season soured when Philadelphia thumped them 27-0 on Sunday Night football way back in week 6. Eagles fans point this out relentlessly seeing as it was the high point of yet another season in Philadelphia that ends without another Lombardi trophy. Regular season accomplishments are all the Eagles, and their fans, have to remember during the long, cold, playoff-less winters. Since that games, the Giants have experience the lowest of lows (Losing to Jacksonville) and the highest of highs (Odell Beckham, jr’s breakout performances) and will be hell bent on avenging that shutout loss in this otherwise meaningless season finale. Philadelphia, meanwhile, is reeling from last week’s playoff elimination. New York wins, possibly in a Beckham fueled blowout.

    Straight Pick: Giants
    Spread Pick: Giants – 2.5
    OU Pick: Over 53.5

    Confidence: High on the Straight and the Spread; Low on the Over.

    New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

    Line: Saints by 5.0
    Over/Under: 46.5

    Analysis: New Orleans plays in the location they thrive this season – anywhere but the Superdome. The Saints lost 5 straight at home, formerly their fortress of invincibility, and travel to play pitiful Tampa Bay to take on the Buccaneers, who will clinch the first overall pick in the draft with a loss. Tampa bay loses. Or do they win. My head hurts.

    Straight Pick: Saints
    Spread Pick: Saints – 5.0
    OU Pick: Under 46.5

    Confidence: Low on all three picks.

    Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons:

    Line: Falcons by 3.0
    Over/Under: 47.5

    Analysis: The winner of this game will have 7 wins on the season, clinch the NFC South, and host a team with 11 wins in the wild card round next week. And nothing should be changed – the division winners should always host a playoff game. Chances are, the visiting team next week will be the quarterback starved Cardinals, and the hosting team will have a good chance to win the playoff game. The Falcons play well at home against division opponents. Even this season. Lay the points.

    Straight Pick: Falcons
    Spread Pick: Falcons – 3.0
    OU Pick: Over 47.5

    Confidence: Low on all three picks.

    Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers:

    Line: Packers by 9.0
    Over/Under: 47.0

    Analysis: The Lions have not won in Green Bay since 1991 – the season before Brett Favre arrived. The winner of this game takes the NFC North, while the loser likely travels to Dallas to see if the Cowboys choke away the wild card game. Even though Detroit dominated the earlier match up at home, they won’t be able to take care of business in their personal house of horrors. The Packers win this one easily.

    Straight Pick: Packers
    Spread Pick: Packers – 9.0
    OU Pick: Under 47.0

    Confidence: High on the Straight and the Spread; Low on the Under.

    Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos:

    Line: Broncos by 14.0
    Over/Under: 47.5

    Analysis: Denver needs a win to clinch a home field bye and they desperately need it. Peyton Manning has been playing like the battered 38 years old he is since the Rams game. Any Broncos hope for a return trip to the Super Bowl starts with a win over the Raiders. You can’t buy that kind of motivation. The Raiders look past this game and to their courting of Jim Harbaugh as their new head coach, taking place on Monday. Broncos in a blowout.

    Straight Pick: Broncos
    Spread Pick: Broncos – 14.0
    OU Pick: Over 47.5

    Confidence: High on the Straight and the Spread; Low on the Over.

    Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco Forty-Niners:

    Line: Forty-Niners by 6.5
    Over/Under: 37.5

    Analysis: Ryan Lindley Logan Thomas Ryan Lindley starts at quarterback for the Cardinals. Bruce Arians initially named rookie Thomas starter and then backtracked and inserted the ineffective Lindley back into the lineup. Talks of unretiring Kurt Warner even surfaced. As big a mess as the Cardinals quarterback situation is, the Forty-Niners are reeling from the messy exit of their head coach. Harbaugh is meeting with both Michigan and Raiders representatives on Monday. How focused will he be on this game? How loyal will his players be when he has a foot and a half out the door? Take the points on strength of the Cardinals defense.

    Straight Pick: Cardinals
    Spread Pick: Cardinals + 6.5
    OU Pick: Under 37.5

    Confidence: Low on the Straight and the Spread; High on the Over.

    St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks:

    Line: Seahawks by 12.5
    Over/Under: 41.5

    Analysis: Seattle has been on a roll, but the Rams always give then a tough game. The Seahawks need this game to secure home field advantage throughout the playoffs. For the Rams, this is their Super Bowl. The Seahwks are simply the better team and will prevail after the Rams keep it close early.

    Straight Pick: Seahawks
    Spread Pick: Seahawks – 12.5
    OU Pick: Under 41.5

    Confidence:  Low on all three picks.

    Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers:

    Line: Steelers by 3.5
    Over/Under: 48.0

    Analysis: If this game was in Cincinnati, I’d like the Bengals chances. But Andy Dalton, at night, on the road. Anything else you need to know? Take the Steelers. You’ll be in bed by halftime unless you’re waiting to hear the playoff match ups announced.

    Straight Pick: Steelers
    Spread Pick: Steelers – 3.5
    OU Pick: Over 48.0

    Confidence:  Low on all three picks.

    If you want to play a parley: Don’t look for one here. We’ve been horrendous at them.

    If you’re in a suicide pool: In order… Packers, Broncos, Chargers, Giants


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