San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos:
Line: Broncos by 8.5
Analysis: The Thursday Night series of game is ripe with divisional match-ups because these require teams to spend less time preparing and the visiting teams are generally geographically closer to their biggest rivals. This week’s game pits two of the AFC West’s best, the Chargers and the Broncos, against one another and showcases two of the premier quarterbacks in the NFL, Philip Rivers and Peyton Manning. Denver is tough to beat at home, as their 18-2 straight up record since Manning’s arrival in 2013 attests, but they are only 13-7 against the spread. Take the points. The 52.5 over/under line is generous with two good defenses and opponents that scheme to stop each other the entire offseason.
Straight pick: Broncos
Spread Pick: Chargers + 8.5
OU Pick: Under 52.5
Pick Confidence: High on the Straight and the Under; Low on the Spread