360 Picks: Lucky Week 7


360Picks had a better week with Over/Unders, going a respectable 9-5-1 for our best mark of the season, but unfortunately, in an odd week 6 that featured a tie game between the Cincinnati Bengals and Carolina Panthers, our computer got a bug, hopefully not Ebola, and had a bad week with both the straight and spread selections. We soldier on, and will come up with the right formula, or give you a hearty laugh with our attempts.

First let’s look at how we’ve done, then we’ll move on to this week’s selections.

Straight up: 2-3-1 on High confidence picks, 4-5 on Low. 6-8-1 Overall
Straight up season: 21-13-1 on High confidence picks, 28-28 on low. 49-41-1 Overall

Spread: 0-3 on High confidence picks, 5-7 on Low. 5-10 Overall
Spread season: 11-14 on High Confidence Picks, 30-34-2 on Low. 41-48-2 Overall

OU: 2-0-1 on High confidence Picks, 7-5 on Low. 9-5-1 Overall
Season OU: 3-6-1 on High confidence picks, 38-42-1 on Low. 41-48-2 Overall

Parley Picks: Missed, 0-1. 0-6 Overall. Went 0-fer. It means we’re due.
Suicide Selections: 2-2, 16-8 Overall. Hit on the Chargers and Broncos, Missed on the Seahawks and Bengals.

360 Picks Week 7:

Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts:

Line: Colts by 3.0
Over/Under: 49.5

Analysis: The Colts play well at home, 8-3 since 2013, while the Bengals struggle on the road, 4-6 in the same period. Against the spread, the Colts are 7-4, while the Bengals are 3-6-1. The trends say lay the points in a high scoring affair.

Straight Pick: Colts
Spread Pick: Colts – 3.0
OU Pick: Over 49.5

Confidence: High on the Spread; Low on the Spread and the Under

Tennessee Titans at Washington Redskins:

Line: Redskins by 6.0
Over/Under: 45.5

Analysis: The Redskins have a dismal 3-8 record at home in the past 2 seasons, including 1-2 this year. The Titans are a mediocre 5-6, and a passable 6-4-1 against the spread. That trend says take the points.

Straight Pick: Titans
Spread Pick: Titans + 6.0
OU Pick: Over 45.5

Confidence:  Low on all three picks

Miami Dolphins at Chicago Bears:

Line: Bears by 3.0
Over/Under: 48.0

Analysis: Both teams are 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games Home/Road, respectively, but the Bears are 1-8-1 against the spread at home. Take the points.

Straight Pick: Bears
Spread Pick: Dolphins + 3.0
OU Pick: Over 48.0

Confidence: Low on all three picks

Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars:

Line: Browns by 5.5
Over/Under: 45.0

Analysis: Coming off of a huge home win against the hated Steelers, the Browns travel to Jacksonville to face the winless Jaguars It screams let down. The Browns should win the game, but it will be closer than anyone is comfortable with, including Cleveland.

Straight Pick: Browns
Spread Pick: Jaguars + 5.5
OU Pick: Over 44.5

Confidence: High on the Over; Low on the Straight and Spread

Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams:

Line: Seahawks by 6.5
Over/Under: 42.5

Analysis: Seattle is reeling from a home humiliation at the hands of the Dallas Cowboys. They travel to St. Louis for a chance at redemption against the struggling Rams, who blew a two touchdown lead against San Francisco on Monday night. This weekend they become Seattle’s punching bag. Lay the points.

Straight Pick: Seahawks
Spread Pick: Seahawks – 6.5
OU Pick: Under 42.5

Confidence: High on the Straight and Spread, Low on the Under

Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers:

Line: Packers by 6.5
Over/Under: 49.5

Analysis: The touchdown spread on this game strikes us as too high, but Carolina is still dealing with more than their share of injuries and will have a hard time keeping up with Aaron Rodgers and company. We’re laying the points, cautiously.

Straight Pick: Packers
Spread Pick: Packers – 6.5
OU Pick: Under 49.5

Confidence: High on the Straight and Under, Low on the Spread

Atlanta Falcons at Baltimore Ravens:

Line: Ravens by 6.5
Over/Under: 50.0

Analysis: Baltimore started scoring on Tampa Bay right after the opening kickoff and still haven’t stopped. Meanwhile, the Falcons offensive line woes caught up with them. It won’t get any easier this week.

Straight Pick: Ravens
Spread Pick: Ravens + 6.5
OU Pick: Under 50.0

Confidence: High on the Straight; Low on the Spread and the Under

Minnesota Vikings at Buffalo Bills:

Line: Bills by 6.5
Over/Under: 43.0

Analysis: Buffalo is the most inconsistent team in the National Football League, laying an egg against the Patriots after an upset win over the Lions in Week 5. This should be an up week for the Bills against the struggling Vikings at home.

Straight Pick: Bills
Spread Pick: Bills – 6.5
OU Pick: Under 43.0

Confidence: Low on all three picks

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions:

Line: Lions by 2.0
Over/Under: 47.0

Analysis: Stat of the week – New Orleans is 1-10 against the spread on the road. Unless this game come down to a late field goal attempt, the Lions should win and cover at home.

Straight Pick: Lions
Spread Pick: Lions – 2.0
OU Pick: Under 47.0

Confidence: Low on all three picks

San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs:

Line: Chargers by 4.0
Over/Under: 45.0

Analysis: San Diego has been an unstoppable force at home, winning their three games this season, but Kansas City is 10-1 against the spread on the road since 2013. Take the points.

Straight Pick: Chargers
Spread Pick: Chiefs + 4.0
OU Pick: Over 45.0

Confidence: High on the Spread; Low on the Straight and Over

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys:

Line: Cowboys by 6.5
Over/Under: 47.5

Analysis: If that Division 1AAA team that played in Giants uniforms last Sunday night shows up again, Big Blue doesn’t stand a chance against the Cowboys run game. However, Dallas may be missing both of their offensive tackles and Demarco Murray is also nicked up. The Giants should keep it close, but they may not have enough to beat the suddenly resurgent Cowboys.

Straight Pick: Cowboys
Spread Pick: Giants + 6.5
OU Pick: Over 47.5

Confidence: Low on all three picks

Arizona Cardinals at Oakland Raiders:

Line: Cardinals by 3.5
Over/Under: 44.5

Analysis: Oakland played over their heads at home last week and face a better defense this week in the form of the Arizona Cardinals. This one shouldn’t be nearly as close as Arizona appears to be the class of the strong NFC West and Oakland the least of the AFC West.

Straight Pick: Cardinals
Spread Pick: Cardinals + 3.5
OU Pick: Over 44.5

Confidence: High on the Straight and Spread, Low on the Over

San Francisco Forty-Niners at Denver Broncos:

Line: Broncos by 7.0
Over/Under: 49.0

Analysis: Denver at home is 10-1 straight up, but only 6-5 against the spread. San Francisco gets to gave Peyton Manning on a short week, but should be able to stay within 7 points.

Straight Pick: Broncos
Spread Pick: Forty-Niners + 7.0
OU Pick: Under 49.0

Confidence: High on the Straight and Under, Low on the Spread

Houston Texans at Pittsburgh Steelers:

Line: Steelers by 3.0
Over/Under: 44.5

Analysis: Pittsburgh was embarrassed by a Cleveland team that they have owned for the past decade or so. We find out on Monday Night if they have any fight in them this season or if it’s a rebuilding year in the Steel City. My gut says they come out swinging.

Straight Pick: Steelers
Spread Pick: Steelers + 3.0
OU Pick: Over 44.5

Confidence: High on the Over; Low on the Straight and Spread

If you want to play a parley: The best of the high confidence picks… Patriots -10.0, Patriots/Jets Under 45.5, Broncos/Forty-Niners 49.5, Steelers/Texans 44.5

If you’re in a suicide pool: In order… Patriots, Ravens, Cardinals, Seahawks

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